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Published on 28. 7. 2024

Case Study: Uncovering a Critical Metric Flaw at Europe’s Largest Online Beauty Retailer

Background

Notino, Europe’s leading online beauty retailer, prided itself on efficient inventory management and accurate performance metrics. However, a discrepancy in product availability across different language versions of the website hinted at a potential issue with their stock-out evaluation metric.

The Challenge

As an analyst at Notino, I noticed inconsistencies in product availability across different country-specific versions of the website. This observation led me to suspect that the metric used for evaluating stock-outs might be flawed, potentially affecting various critical business processes.

My Approach

  1. Data Collection Script:
  • Developed a Python script to monitor suspected products every 5 minutes.
  • The script checked product availability across all language versions of the website, each corresponding to different warehouses.
  1. Extended Monitoring:
  • Ran the script continuously for several days to gather a comprehensive dataset.
  1. Data Analysis:
  • Compared the collected data against values in Notino’s data platform.
  • Conducted a thorough analysis to identify discrepancies and patterns.
  1. Validation and Reporting:
  • Confirmed the existence of significant discrepancies between actual availability and reported metrics.
  • Prepared a detailed report of findings for stakeholders.

Key Findings

  1. Metric Inaccuracy: The stock-out evaluation metric in the data platform was indeed flawed, not accurately reflecting real-time product availability.
  2. Wide-ranging Impact: The inaccurate metric was affecting multiple critical business areas:
  • Demand Forecasting: Leading to inventory surpluses or shortages.
  • Purchasing Decisions: Causing inefficiencies in stock replenishment.
  • Performance Evaluation: Resulting in incorrect KPI calculations for buyers.
  1. Financial Implications: The metric flaw had potential significant financial impacts due to inventory mismanagement and misaligned incentives.

Results and Impact

  1. Metric Correction: My findings led to an immediate revision of the stock-out evaluation metric.
  2. Improved Inventory Management:
  • More accurate demand predictions.
  • Optimized stock levels across warehouses.
  1. Enhanced Performance Evaluation:
  • Corrected KPI calculations for the purchasing team.
  • More fair and accurate quarterly performance assessments.
  1. Cost Savings: Potential for significant cost savings through improved inventory management and reduced overstock/understock situations.
  2. Data Integrity: Increased trust in data-driven decision-making processes across the organization.

Key Learnings

  1. Continuous Monitoring: Regular checks of key metrics against real-world data are crucial for maintaining data integrity.
  2. Cross-functional Impact: A single metric flaw can have far-reaching consequences across multiple departments and processes.
  3. Proactive Problem-Solving: Taking initiative to investigate suspicions can lead to significant improvements in business operations.
  4. Technical Skills Matter: Proficiency in programming (Python in this case) enables data professionals to conduct independent investigations and validations.
  5. Data Visualization Importance: Effectively presenting findings to stakeholders is crucial for driving change.

This case study demonstrates how a data-driven approach and technical skills can uncover critical issues in large-scale e-commerce operations, leading to significant improvements in business processes and decision-making.

Samuel Seidel

In my entrepreneurial journey, I've achieved three successful exits. As an employee I contributed to the double-digit growth of the largest online beauty retailer. I've worked on numerous fascinating projects. Leverage my expertise - present me with your challenge, and I'll solve it.

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